"Unpredictable"?

Many people think that Trump is “unpredictable” or “moody”, whereas I believe that, if one wishes to understand how to “read” him, Trump is not only highly predictable and consistent, but is in fact pursuing a policy, dictated by American “big money”, that has been consistent and essentially unchanged at least since the Obama era.

Everything begins when Barack Obama visits the Hannover Messe, and says something rather revealing. Speaking about an annual fair that does NOT change its location from year to year, Obama says one thing: I want the fair, one day, to be held in the United States. And here is the point: it is not like the FIFA World Cup, where you submit a bid to host a future edition. The Hannover industrial fair takes place in Hannover. And only in Hannover. And it is in Hannover because it is the direct expression of Germany’s industrial vocation.

And so, in practice, when Obama said that this fair should be held in the United States, he was effectively saying that German industry would have to be completely destroyed—something that would have caused the end of the fair itself, after which it could then have been held in the United States.

I do not wish to comment on the naïveté of this—because even if German and European industrial vocation were to be destroyed, it would not benefit the United States, but rather China, and the fair would not move to Boston, but to Beijing. But Americans, when they think about foreign policy, always tend to forget some country that lies outside their game.

The problem is that, in practice, the President of the United States was expressing an economic policy that required the destruction of the European economy in favour of the American one. According to some in the United States, the production of anything that is currently produced in Europe must be relocated to the United States. And this was already true well before Trump.

But the key point is simple: under the pressure of American big money, the United States has a single great primary objective—the destruction of the European Union, deemed necessary in order to dismantle German supply chains and, more generally, European industrial chains, so as to force European industrial production to relocate to the United States.

After all, damn the country that builds something good: Americans will set their eyes on it and, in one way or another—violent or otherwise—they will try to take it away from you.

In short, then, Trump is absolutely predictable.

To understand his next moves in the long term, it is enough to ask oneself which move would do the greatest damage to the European Union, and you will have your answer.

Of course, he will advance amid all the clamour of the Circus Burzum that surrounds him, with fools, showgirls, dwarfs on fire, and explosions—but in the end, that is the final strategy.

And so, in the end, what is the worst he could possibly do to Europe? The greatest source of quarrels, divisions, and instability for the European Union so far has been the massive migration from Syria. Europe has withstood Covid, it has withstood the energy shock of the Ukraine war, but it has remained in great difficulty, with Schengen suspended at the borders between several countries, even for many months at a time.

It is therefore logical that the decision would be to create a massive migratory wave originating from Iran.

What the Trump administration will do is manage the war in such a way that, in the end—regardless of the objectives it claims to pursue—a massive wave of migration will be produced that, as happened with Syria, will sweep across Europe. And considering the size of Iran, you should imagine a wave ten times larger than the Syrian one.

We already have the first signs of this. After having caused yet another energy shock to Europe with the loss of oil, Trump is now threatening to strike power plants and water desalination facilities in Iran. And what happens when a country loses both its energy sources, its electrical grid, and its water infrastructure?

A sudden return to an unlivable Middle Ages, and a generalized flight from cities, rendered uninhabitable by the lack of electricity and water—towards… where? Where would ten, perhaps twenty million young Iranians go, seeking refuge from war and hunger, from thirst and from cities that can no longer be lived in?

I repeat: the United States has already struck a desalination plant in Tehran, and is threatening to destroy power plants and water systems if the regime does not yield—knowing full well that it will not.

Americans know perfectly well what Iranians are made of. They know perfectly well that they will not give in. And so, they will begin to prepare the targets, and to strip Iran of its power plants and its desalination facilities.

After that, with cities of twenty million people rendered uninhabitable, the exodus will begin.

This is what he will do, barring surprises. Predictable. Clear. In order to destroy the European Union, which they have already said they hate and want to destroy at any cost.

What else do you need, to see the signs?

And what else is needed, to prepare?